Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.963161 12.280112 13.704740 15.362339 17.240499 19.305359 21.751363
2025-04-13 8.689871 10.370096 12.316170 14.743991 17.701832 21.201088 25.673392
2025-04-20 7.359405 9.293236 11.674630 14.839674 18.961135 24.180279 31.344299
2025-04-27 6.367838 8.468764 11.206181 15.065204 20.414897 27.641612 38.265892
2025-05-04 5.506122 7.678090 10.658728 15.096709 21.620337 30.988150 45.694385
2025-05-11 4.686429 6.821004 9.891538 14.698082 22.156563 33.494639 52.429708
2025-05-18 4.044678 6.124375 9.249428 14.375680 22.746611 36.179666 59.986242
2025-05-25 3.531212 5.546336 8.699765 14.104431 23.365494 39.012851 68.372958
2025-06-01 3.128527 5.085062 8.265682 13.947694 24.140973 42.236475 78.121089
2025-06-08 2.803886 4.706181 7.911517 13.867150 25.029306 45.809594 89.290098
2025-06-15 2.602895 4.508687 7.835262 14.261517 26.843141 51.411910 105.693651
2025-06-22 2.360809 4.206828 7.533260 14.190290 27.753818 55.429318 119.740398
2025-06-29 2.105938 3.855878 7.107100 13.839616 28.099132 58.473022 132.659999
2025-07-06 1.898868 3.568449 6.763018 13.600483 28.639228 62.051305 147.776199
2025-07-13 1.779063 3.434117 6.698602 13.929629 30.473395 68.893837 172.749558
2025-07-20 1.677953 3.324027 6.667967 14.327257 32.542240 76.736850 202.581050
2025-07-27 1.566237 3.178289 6.544249 14.499445 34.119917 83.740484 232.235928
2025-08-03 1.429333 2.963172 6.245127 14.222576 34.553772 87.939822 255.119933
2025-08-10 1.311212 2.774728 5.980870 13.988618 35.058282 92.453549 280.406205
2025-08-17 1.207888 2.607037 5.742507 13.782226 35.601877 97.212814 308.048679
2025-08-24 1.121686 2.468161 5.553437 13.671705 36.390261 102.870650 340.622527
2025-08-31 1.047905 2.349597 5.397767 13.624515 37.352768 109.288155 378.121525
2025-09-07 1.007230 2.304272 5.413096 14.035860 39.732352 120.690514 438.190304